“We are going to have a good year!”

Do you own shares of stock in the company you work for? Do they make up your entire 401(k) or just some of your “play money”? I’m amazed at the amount of clients and prospects I meet with that have a significant portion of their portfolio invested in their company’s stock. Familiarity and ‘insider knowledge’ seem to be the top reasons the hold the positions. They quickly forget stock picking is nearly impossible and even those with the greatest level of knowledge get it wrong.

The S&P 500 at Post Crash Highs, What to Do Now?

Since the beginning of the year the S&P 500 is up nearly 8 percent. This quick jump in the stock market has taken place depite the fact that much of the debt crisis remains unresolved in Europe as well as in Washington. China’s economy is showing signs of slowing while inflation fears could lead to a surge in emerging markets. All the while a presidential race is heating up and the prognosticators are calling for all sorts of calamity. This surge has sparked frenzy in the media bringing about predictions from financial pundit bulls and bears.

Volatility and Risk – The Missing Link

Which stock would you rather own:

– Stock A has a return of 15.8%

– Stock B has a return of -11.5%

I’m assuming this is pretty much a no-brainer, right? In the example above, there’s no way you would choose Stock B over Stock A. So let me ask the question again, but this time, I’ll give you a little more information.

Employee Stock Options

Employee stock options have been a hot topic recently due to Facebook’s filing for an Initial Public Offering (IPO). Employees of Facebook reportedly own about 30% of Facebook from the stock options they have been issued over the years. Based on the most recent valuations 30% of Facebook is worth about $30 billion and analyst predict over 1,000 Facebook employees will become millionaires when Facebook goes public. Even if you weren’t lucky enough to get in on the ground floor of a multi-billion dollar company like Facebook there is still a good chance you have been granted stock options at some point in your career if you have worked for a publicly traded company. We often have clients ask us what they should do with the stock options they have been granted and how the process of exercising them works.

Stock Prices: Always on the Move

Throughout the Trade Month, I get many phone calls from clients asking why one of their positions has increased or decreased dramatically in price. Stock prices reflect a company’s current value as well as a projection of the future. Since the projection of the future is constantly changing as each day passes, stock prices are always fluctuating. To understand why a particular position moves dramatically, we first have to see why stock prices move in general; supply and demand.

How to manage stock market volatility in retirement

In retirement, one of the scariest things, particularly when you are dependent on your investment portfolio for a large portion of your retirement income, is how to deal with the ups and downs of the stock market and the economy. You may believe that, in order to do that, you have to be able to get into the market as …

On Randomness

One of the most fundamental and most difficult concepts for investors to wrap their brain around is the randomness of markets. This is most likely because, as Terry Burnham ably shows us, in Mean Markets and Lizard Brains, humans are just not wired to deal with probability and randomness. In the investing classic, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, Princeton …